The Southern Australia Seasonal Bushfire Outlook 2018-19 for November shows that above normal fire potential remains across large parts of southern Australia, as first identified in September’s Outlook.
Rain in areas of eastern Australia during spring, while welcome, was not enough to recover from the long-term dry conditions.
Wet conditions currently being experienced across parts of coastal New South Wales will help, but it will not take long once heat and dry conditions return for the vegetation to dry out.
For example, the April to November period has seen Queensland record the ninth driest and fourth hottest period on record, New South Wales the eighth driest and fourth hottest period on record, and Victoria the 13th driest and seventh hottest period on record.
These conditions have resulted in the expectation of above normal fire potential across large parts of Queensland, New South Wales, the ACT, Victoria, Tasmania, South Australia and Western Australia.
Download the Hazard Note at bnhcrc.com.au